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Cognitive Bias Cards · Card 6

Herd Mentality

When everyone does it, it feels safe.The reasoning hasn't improved.

The crowd
The reasoning
Feels safer
No better than before

Reasoning changes when everyone around you is doing the same thing; the crowd's confidence quietly substitutes for your own.


Reasoning Alone
My own judgment
Reasoning in a Crowd
The crowd's confidence, borrowed
In Practice

A stock everyone is suddenly talking about feels safer to buy simply because of the crowd, not because the underlying reasoning actually improved.

Generic Example

A queue outside a shop makes people join it before asking what it's even for; the crowd itself becomes the reason.

Ask yourself

If no one else were doing this, would I still think it was a good idea?