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Cognitive Bias Cards · Card 4

Recency Bias

The latest event looms largest.Older ones mattered too.

This week
The long history
One bad week feels like proof
Calmer, and more data

The most recent event looms largest in memory, crowding out older events that were just as important, or more.


2 yrs ago1 yr agoLast monthTodayearliermost recent
In Practice

One bad week in the market feels like proof investing is dangerous, even though it's one data point in a much longer, calmer history.

Generic Example

One bad flight makes flying feel unsafe, even though the hundred uneventful ones before it were just as real.

Ask yourself

Am I weighing this because it's actually important, or because it just happened?

Shows up in Biases