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Decision Frameworks · Card 7

Pros/Cons Isn't Enough

Reasons aren't equal.Weigh them, don't count them.

Counting
Weighing
Five small reasons to buy
One serious reason can win

A long list of reasons isn't the same as good reasoning; weigh how much each reason actually matters, don't just count them.


Listing Reasons
Counting how many
Weighing Reasons
Judging how much each matters
In Practice

Five small reasons to buy a stock can lose to one serious reason not to, like debt you can't verify; counting reasons instead of weighing them hides that.

Generic Example

Ten small reasons to take a job can still lose to one heavy reason not to, like a two-hour commute; the list length doesn't decide it, the weight does.

Ask yourself

Am I counting my reasons, or actually weighing which ones matter most?