← Decision Frameworks
Decision Frameworks · Card 2
Pre-Mortem Question
Before deciding, imagine it's already failed, and ask why — surfacing risks you'd never spot while still feeling optimistic.
Imagine it failed
Ask why
Fix it now
In Practice
Before taking a new position, imagine it's down 30% in six months and ask what would have caused that — then check if that risk is one you're actually willing to hold.
Generic Example
Before a big trip, imagine it went badly and ask why — missed connections, no travel insurance — then fix those specific gaps now.
If this decision fails, what's the most likely reason — and have I actually addressed it?
Shows up in Decision Frameworks