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Valuation Without Fear · Unit 3

Margin of Safety

5 min read

What this unit covers

Learn to calculate margin of safety, the gap between price and estimated value, as protection against being wrong.

By the end you will be able to

  • Calculate margin of safety using (Estimated Value minus Price) divided by Estimated Value.
  • Explain why a value estimate is always somewhat wrong, and why the buffer size matters more than precision.
  • Distinguish price from estimated value, and avoid measuring the discount against the wrong one.

How it starts: Two Estimates, Same Company

  1. You study a company and decide its shares are worth 100 rupees each.
  2. Someone else studies the same company and reaches the same 100 rupee estimate.
  3. One of you buys near 100 rupees, the other waits and buys lower.

Words you will meet

Margin of Safety
The gap between what you believe something is worth and the price you pay for it.

In this module: Valuation Without Fear

  1. Why Price Isn't Value
  2. Intrinsic Value Simplified
  3. Margin of Safety (this unit)
  4. When to Buy & When to Wait

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